Farage told me he would quit politics after Brexit. Now, mired in scandal, he should do it and mean it
Nigel Farage's Reform UK party is running ahead of other parties in the Clacton byelection, but he is facing serious allegations of breaking the rules. Farage has made no apology for his actions and is displaying aggressive anti-media paranoia.
Intelligence analysis by Llama

Farage's byelection tactic could succeed, but it will require extreme humility. He has made no apology for his actions and is displaying aggressive anti-media paranoia, which could be unwise.
Nigel Farage is a politician who used to be in charge of a party called UKIP. He said he would quit politics after Brexit, but now he's in trouble for breaking the rules. He's trying to win a byelection, but it's not going well for him.
Analysis
A Wildcard in Perilous Position
Farage's Reform UK party is still running ahead of all other parties in the Clacton byelection, but he is facing serious allegations of breaking the rules. This has led to a byelection stunt, which shows that he is clearly rattled by a perilous position. Wildcards rarely endure, and Farage's future is behind him.
The Power of Remorse
In the past, Farage has shown the power of remorse. When he was jeered by a Greek student at the London School of Economics, he made an immaculate apology. However, there is no sign of remorse today. Instead, he is displaying aggressive anti-media paranoia, which is unwise.
The Iron Ceiling
Farage's party, Reform UK, has found a plausible public personality, but what gave it bite was Brexit. Once that was achieved, he had made his point. It was for others to clear up after the celebration was over. Others must deal with the Brexit mess or – as he laughably claims – to build on its success. His future is behind him, and that is why this must be Farage's last fling.
Key points
- Farage's Reform UK party is running ahead of other parties in the Clacton byelection
- Farage is facing serious allegations of breaking the rules
- Farage has made no apology for his actions and is displaying aggressive anti-media paranoia
- The outcome of the byelection could have significant implications for British politics and the future of the Reform UK party
If Farage's byelection tactic succeeds, it could be a positive development for the Reform UK party. However, it will require extreme humility and a willingness to work with others to achieve success.
If Farage's byelection tactic fails, it could lead to a decline in the Reform UK party's popularity and a further fragmentation of the right-of-centre vote. This could have significant implications for British politics and the future of the party.



