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XRP has failed to make holders rich like bitcoin and ether. Here’s why

XRP trades significantly below its January 2018 peak, unlike Bitcoin and Ether, due to a sharp increase in circulating supply, weak institutional demand, and prolonged regulatory uncertainty from the SEC lawsuit.

By Omkar Godbole·Oct 16·coindesk.com·3 min read

Intelligence analysis by Gemini 2.5 Flash

The article explains why XRP, a major cryptocurrency, has failed to generate substantial wealth for its holders compared to Bitcoin and Ether. Key factors include a diluted market value from increased supply, limited institutional investment via ETFs, declining trading activity, Ripple's strategic focus away from popular crypto sectors, and the lasting impact of its legal battle with …

Why it matters

This story is crucial for crypto investors as it dissects the underperformance of a prominent digital asset, highlighting that market capitalization alone does not guarantee returns and underscoring the critical influence of tokenomics, regulatory clarity, and market demand on a cryptocurrency's long-term value.

Imagine a special digital coin called XRP. While other popular digital coins like Bitcoin and Ether have grown a lot, making their owners rich, XRP hasn't. This is because there are many more XRP coins now, fewer big investors want to buy it, and the company behind it, Ripple, had a big legal fight that scared people away, making it harder for its value to go up like the others.

Analysis

XRP, once a top-tier cryptocurrency, has notably underperformed its peers like Bitcoin and Ether, failing to deliver significant returns for long-term holders. While many major digital assets have surged past their 2017-2018 cycle highs, XRP remains considerably below its peak. This divergence is attributed to a confluence of factors, including fundamental supply-side dynamics, a lack of institutional interest, and a protracted legal battle.

Circulating Supply

One primary reason for XRP's lagging performance is the substantial increase in its circulating supply. According to Nicolai Sondergaard, a senior research analyst at Nansen, XRP's circulating supply grew by 63% from 38.7 billion in 2017 to 63.1 billion. This expansion occurred while XRP's total market value only saw a modest 3% decline, meaning each token now represents a smaller share of roughly the same overall value.

Oliver Carding, head of marketing at Tesseract Group, further elaborates that if measured by total value rather than individual token price, XRP's recovery appears more favorable. He notes that with 63% more XRP in circulation, the same circulating market capitalization would naturally result in a price approximately 39% lower than its previous peak, illustrating the dilutive effect of increased supply.

ETF Uptake

Another significant factor contributing to XRP's underperformance is its inability to attract substantial institutional investment, particularly through U.S.-listed exchange-traded funds (ETFs). While Bitcoin and Ether ETFs have garnered billions in investor capital, XRP funds have seen comparatively muted uptake. Data from SoSoValue indicates that XRP funds have only attracted $1.80 billion since their debut, a stark contrast to Bitcoin ETFs, which often pull in over $1 billion in a single day.

Paul Howard, senior director at Wincent, highlights this disparity, noting that ETF uptake for XRP has been weak relative to BTC and ETH. This lack of institutional interest is compounded by declining trading activity, with Nansen's data showing XRP spot volume down 53.5%, perpetual futures volume down 44%, and active addresses down 10.7%, all pointing to a broader weakening of demand.

SEC Case

The prolonged legal dispute between Ripple, the company closely associated with XRP, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has also significantly hampered the token's growth. The SEC sued Ripple in December 2020, alleging unregistered securities sales. This regulatory uncertainty created a chilling effect on the market, particularly during the 2021 crypto bull run, when Coinbase suspended XRP trading.

Although a federal judge ruled in 2023 that XRP sales on public exchanges were not securities offerings, and the case concluded in August 2025 with both sides dropping appeals, the damage was already done. Oliver Carding suggests the SEC case directly explains why XRP failed to revisit its 2018 high during the 2021 rally. Even after the appeals were dropped, XRP's price has fallen about 59%, significantly more than Bitcoin's 32% and Ether's 44% declines in the same period, underscoring the lasting impact of the regulatory cloud.

Key points

  • XRP trades 62.5% below its January 2018 peak, while Bitcoin and Ether have significantly surpassed their 2017 highs.
  • A 63% increase in XRP's circulating supply since 2017 has diluted its value per token, contributing to its underperformance.
  • XRP funds have attracted only $1.80 billion in investor money, significantly less than Bitcoin ETFs, which often see over $1 billion daily.
  • Declining trading activity, network use, and Ripple's focus on payments over trending crypto sectors have weakened demand for XRP.
  • The prolonged SEC lawsuit against Ripple created regulatory uncertainty, hindering XRP's performance during the 2021 crypto bull run and beyond.
The Downside

XRP faces continued challenges in matching the growth of its major cryptocurrency peers due to persistent issues like diluted market value from increased supply and a lack of significant institutional investment. The lingering effects of past regulatory uncertainty and Ripple's strategic focus away from high-growth crypto sectors could further limit its price appreciation potential.

Originally reported at

coindesk.com

Discernion covers the story. Read the full piece at the source.

Tagscryptomarketsregulationblockchaindigital-assetsripple

Author

Omkar Godbole

Intelligence analysis by

Gemini 2.5 Flash

Published

Oct 16, 2026

Source

coindesk.com

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Topics

cryptomarketsregulationblockchaindigital-assetsripple

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